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It May Pay to Follow Who Chased Emollient To Wire; Belmont MSW Race Should Produce Next Out Wins

By Warren Eves

Belmont’s 3rd race the last day of September is a “key” race.

Identifying a “key race” early on can mean cashing tickets.  The race we reviewed over and over was a seven-furlong test for maiden two-year-old fillies.  After watching each and every one of the eight race we are convinced a number of these youngsters will come back with big next out runs.

Juddmonte Farms’ Emollient was visually impressive taking the testing seven furlong test for Bill Mott.

She was loaded last into stall eight and got away fourth while racing wide early on.  Third and continuing wide to the half-mile marker Emollient continued losing ground on the turn as she moved up to take on the leader.  Jose Lezcano asked her to go once in the straight.  Emollient took charge to the final marker drawing out without being asked.  She was guzzled late and still posted a final fraction of 12.52.  It marked the second start for the Empire Maker filly who had finished second making her debut to Cue the Moon on September 2nd up the road at Saratoga. It might also be a good idea to monitor what Cue the Moon does in the coming weeks because Emollient might be special.

First time starter Brilliant Jewel, an A.P. Indy filly, also caught the eye finishing second while making her racing debut.  She got away third and Javier Castellano allowed her to fall out sixth.  Always wide Brilliant Jewel was actually hung four-wide on the turn.  She was third to the top and when asked some left-handed she finished nicely behind the impressive winner.  She figures to be odds-on the next time she is led over and should graduate.

Last and certainly not least was the observation we made of fourth place finisher White Rose.  In our opinion we believe John Velasquez was merely giving White Rose an outing.  The grey Tapit filly was slow to begin from her two stall and trailed early on.  The head-on shot showed her moving up on the inside making the run down the backside into fourth.  Velasquez then allowed her to fall back three positions on the turn.  White Rose saved ground entering the stretch and when Velasquez flicked the whip at her left-handed several times she found renewed interest to save fourth.  We believe she’s primed for a move forward the next time she is led over.

Let it be a matter of record.  So far this racing season it’s been tough to isolating next out positive runs.  I believe White Rose(4th), Brilliant Jewel(2nd) and Emollient(the winner) will all come back with positive next out runs.  We’ve been looking for a “productive race” for a long time and this could be it.

Notes scribbled across my official program–In case you missed it Exothermic, the colt I had highly rated early on this year, finally comes back to the races on Saturday at Keeneland.  We do not know what happened to this super talented runner.  What I do know is the colt surely impressed us with his efforts on the lawn before he was sidelined………………….Gov. Martin O’Malley has gone bonkers over ads in the state’s referendum over expanded betting in Maryland.  O’Malley blasted Penn National’s advertisements.  The ads make the argument that there is no guarantee that the money earmarked for education in the bill will actually be used for that purpose.  That claim could be true because a single member of the general assembly can reverse a previous legislative decision.  They claim governors can dip into dedicated funds………………….Something we didn’t know is that Bruce Zoldan of Youngstown, Ohio, is part of the syndicate which owns Animal Kingdom.   He’s recovered from a stress fracture of the ilium after his Feb., 18 run at Gulfstream and will re-surface in the Breeders’ Cup Turf Mile……………………..Graham Motion has gained a lot of respect from this corner over the past several years.  He’s readying the 2011 Kentucky Derby winner Animal Kingdom for the Breeders’ Cup Mile on turf Nov., 3 at Santa Anita Park.  Motion believes Animal Kingdom is capable of running large in that event without a prep race.  He’s been working over the Fair Hill turf course in Maryland and so far so good.  It appears Animal Kingdom will log around 12 works before he runs in the BC Turf………………….Exothermic, a colt I felt was among the best of the 2012 three-year-old crop, came back to the races at Keeneland opening day.  And guess what?  The Kentucky Racing Commission had to come up with a horse-poop excuse for administering bleeder medication to the colt by accident.  It just happened to be day one of a new state rule that requires Lasix to be administered by a state vet.  Exothermic, who won his first two races sans Lasix, was given the bleeder medication by mistake.  So do you think the moron who gave the shot by mistake is going to pay the consequences.  You know the answer. John Ward, the executive director o the Kentucky Horse Racing Commission came with some horse-crap excuse that involved emergency gall bladder surgery.  Exothermic saved ground all the way and finished second in the one-mile and an eighth test on the lawn.

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About The Author

Warren Eves
Warren Eves is a senior turf writer from the state of California who calls Pearl River, Louisiana his home. The one time editor of the Pasadena Independent Star News moved on to handle publicity for racetracks coast to coast. Eves gained his first exposure to the racetrack through a school buddy the late Art Lerille, Jr., who eventually became a trainer in California. Warren worked as farm manager for crack two-year-old trainer Ray Priddy, before holding on track jobs at the racetrack. He worked for Hall of Fame trainer M.E. "Buster" Millerick, Allen Drumheller, Jr., and Dick Moon. Eves has a well rounded background in all breeds. He developed Quarter Horse Report in 1979 with Ed Burgart, track announcer, at Los Alamitos Race Course. It was an innovative publication which revolutionized the industry with actual descriptions of the workouts. While handling publicity at Saratoga Raceway in upstate New York Eves was named employee of the year in 1970. He also handled publicity for Sunland Park, Centennial Park, Ascot Park, Thistledown, and two harness meetings in California. Eves then went into the 900-line business with his best plays and has compiled his own Kentucky Derby ratings for many years. In 1997 he began going back and forth to Las Vegas teaming up with Ralph Siraco to create the long runining radio show Raceday Las Vegas. Eves has produced and directed many horse racing shows on both radio and television. In 2010 he got a call from Mark Geiger. That's when he began writing www.pricehorsecentral.com. Eves, with a reputation of a trip handicapper, is known for his video tape scrutiny. He currently monitors horse racing in for a major horseplayer. While writing for Ridder Publication at the Pasadena Star News his investigative reporting was highly regarded by his peers. Often on the cutting edge, Eves has been given the green light to write about what issues he sees fit to cover. Have a question. His book "Hold All Tickets" is soon to be made available for those who come to this site. It's a factual account of actual events and happenings that took place in the 70s, 80s and 90s. If Warren doesn't know the answer to a question you may have, he'll tell you up front. Eves won't drop it there, however, he'll find someone who knows the answer and get back to you.

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