Price Horse Central

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    Featuring:
    MARK GEIGER: Longshots, Comments, Chalk Festival
    WARREN EVES: Horses to Watch, Comments

  • April 2014
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    Chalk Festival Horses – 4/13/14

    Posted By Mark Geiger on April 13, 2014

    I made one play yesterday and even though a loser, I got a good price.   So, that was a good bet.  Even better, the horse was never in it so there was no jockey tactic, traffic issue, or steward’s decision to blame.  The horse ran poorly.  Next. There’s a different twist in the racing calendar in SoCal this week.  SA will be dark until the 19th (that’s Saturday).  They are running on Easter Sunday and will have about 12 people in attendance.  This will mark the end of “the meet” but I will just keep my (more…)

    Chalk Festival Horses – 4/12/14

    Posted By Mark Geiger on April 12, 2014

    If you want a tip  for the two KD preps, you are in the wrong place.  I ain’t got no opinion.  That’s my story and I’m sticking to it. Turf racing started up at GG earlier this week and they are going all out today.  I am giving a very hard look at the CF horse is Race 2, #1 Mickey Ball which opens at 8/1.  These connections are decent enough and the price should be right with a 9/5 shipper from SoCal to Mickey Martin and Baze riding for Morey. Closing day at (more…)

    Chalk Festival Horses 4/11/14

    Posted By Mark Geiger on April 11, 2014

    What a bunch of pompous corporate barnyard expletives emanated from Louisville yesterday as Churchill Downs announced a hike in their takeout.  It’s hard enough to win in this game but when they are going to take 17.5 of every buck in the win pool, it just got a lot harder.  You can read about it at Bloodhorse.com. I wonder if John Asher, the sycophant company man will comment upon this when he appears on Ralph Siraco’s show.  They say the devil made them do it because their handle has fallen and a Kentucky statute mandates the tax (more…)

    Chalk Festival Horses – 4/10/14

    Posted By Mark Geiger on April 10, 2014

    Warren has a new article posted.  Plenty of good stuff. I’ve been singing the praises of Graham Motion for a while.  While Maker had a forgettable day, Motion more than made up for it in KEE’s 8th where he popped for a 17 buck winner with a filly named Jane Peterson.  Interesting that they only ran 8 over there yesterday. The Villafranco playback didn’t run too well but he is starting a couple of others at OP today.  As always, price has to be the guide but when you follow a guy who hits (more…)

    Been Tough Sledding for Our Oaklawn HTW Playbacks; We’re Betting Texas-bred Mdn-Claimer Tree Top Society

    Posted By Warren Eves on April 9, 2014

    By Warren Eves It has not been business as usual for us at Oaklawn Park this year. We may have found a nugget while doing replay review of races April 3. A Texas-bred gelding, with ordinary drills, figures to graduate soon after his clear cut second at the maiden $12,500 claiming level. Tree Top Society is a Texas-bred owned and bred by Joey Keith Davis and trained by Chris Hartman.  He caught the eye for a number of replay reasons in the fourth race April 3 in Hot Springs. Away clean (more…)

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    A Couple of Barn Switchers Worth Noting 4-9-14

    Posted By Mark Geiger on April 9, 2014

    A couple of trainers on my “watch list” have some entered today. At KEE, Mike Maker (trains a lot for the Ramsey’s who are active in the claiming game), has one first off the claim in R1.  #4 Tordita was grabbed out of an MCL 30 at FG and comes back at the same level.  Not much of a price on this one at 3/1 making a win bet unlikely, but the one looks live with Rosario up. The same connections show up in R4 at Kee where they have #5 Rico Rolando, first (more…)

    Chalk Festival Horses 4/6/14

    Posted By Mark Geiger on April 6, 2014

    Price is everything and yesterday I had a couple of horses bet down to a level where I could not play them only to watch them win.  I suppose that is because I am not much of an exotics player.  I can handle exactas (we called them perfectas back at Sportsmans when LBJ and Nixon were in charge) and an occasional tri.  They had only one of those back then as the tote machines and computers were less powerful than the typical smart phone.  As for the horizontal bets, anything beyond the double and we are talking a major area (more…)

    Chalk Festival Horses – 4/5/14

    Posted By Mark Geiger on April 5, 2014

    Late start today so there may be more coming later. When you horse (based on numbers) figures to get the lead in a theft attempt and it doesn’t, there is good news and bad news.  First, the bad news – you will have a losing bet.  The good news?  You do not have to watch the rest of the race.  Still, Mathis off the claim is a productive angle.  As a general rule of thumb, I will play back failed claimers one time.  There is one of those today in R3 at GG where #3 No Tricks (more…)

    Chalk Festival Horses – 4/4/14

    Posted By Mark Geiger on April 4, 2014

    I don’t know about you, but I like it better when Nakatani lays back a bit on those Cerin turfers.  I am not complaining because I really an analogy to batting average in MLB when assessing the usefulness of a trainer stat.  If something in racing happens about 30% of the time, that is an awesome stat but also means it loses 70% of the time.  The trick is to get paid enough when you win and when the average winning mutuel is 12 bucks (5/1) with a 30% chance of success, I am all in all day thank you (more…)

    Chalk Festival Horses – 4/3/14

    Posted By Mark Geiger on April 3, 2014

    Thank you for your kind words and correct answers.  Those of you who answered will be rewarded. It hardly seems that the baseball season ended and here we are again.  More on this tomorrow. Deep down, I am an eternal optimist but, if you ask my kids, they would tell you just the opposite.  One Father’s day, they bought me photo of an order of french fries with the caption: “Not everyone gets to be an astronaut.”  They thought it was very cute.  I don’t know what happened to it.  I did not like (more…)